According to The Kobeissi Letter, prediction markets, as reported by @Kalshi, currently see a 23% probability of interest rate hikes returning in 2025. This sentiment follows a significant increase in CPI inflation, which recorded its largest month-over-month rise of 0.5% since August 2023. Additionally, PPI inflation has unexpectedly surged to its highest level since February 2023. These inflation metrics are critical for traders to consider as they may influence future monetary policy adjustments, potentially impacting cryptocurrency markets sensitive to interest rate changes.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the 6-month annualized CPI inflation is approaching 4% while the 3-month annualized CPI is nearing 5%. The current headline CPI inflation at 3.0% seems overly optimistic, putting the Federal Reserve's target at least 100 basis points higher than their 2% goal. This inflationary trend has been anticipated by gold markets for months, indicating potential adjustments in trading strategies to accommodate the shifting economic landscape.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current 6-month annualized CPI inflation trends toward 4%, while the 3-month annualized CPI approaches 5%. The headline CPI inflation is at 3.0%, which appears optimistic given the Federal Reserve's 2% target. This positions the Fed 100 basis points above their target, indicating potential pressure on interest rate adjustments. Gold markets have reacted to these inflationary trends for months, suggesting that inflation hedging strategies might be prudent for traders.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation surged by 0.5% over the past month, marking the largest monthly increase since August 2023. This unexpected rise in inflation, alongside core CPI inflation increasing to 3.3% instead of the anticipated 3.1%, signals potential challenges for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy strategy. Traders may need to brace for potential interest rate hikes as the Fed could act to curb rising inflation pressures.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation has increased by 0.5% in one month, marking the largest surge since August 2023, contrary to expectations. Core CPI was anticipated to decrease to 3.1% but instead rose to 3.3%, which poses significant implications for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy strategies. This unexpected inflationary pressure may impact the Fed's interest rate decisions, affecting liquidity and market volatility.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, major financial institutions have released their January CPI inflation expectations, which are crucial for traders. Kalshi predicts a 2.9% inflation rate, which aligns with Barclays, BNP Paribas, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo's expectations. Bank of America and Moody's project a slightly lower rate of 2.8%, while Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, and UBS anticipate a higher rate of 3.0%. These projections are essential for traders to gauge market sentiment and potential monetary policy adjustments.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, energy prices are directly tied to CPI inflation, and a Federal Reserve study indicates that a $10 drop in oil prices can reduce inflation by 20 basis points. With oil prices currently down by $10.20 from their peak, this significant decline over three weeks is expected to impact inflation rates.